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World Cup: What is Pakistan's likelihood of making it to the semifinals?

Pakistan secured a seven-wicket victory against Bangladesh in Kolkata.

Pakistan ended their four-match losing streak in the ongoing World Cup by clinching a crucial seven-wicket victory over Bangladesh in Kolkata on Tuesday.

This win was pivotal in Pakistan’s quest to maintain their chances of reaching the World Cup semifinals, but several challenges remain ahead. To secure a spot in the knockout stage, Pakistan must win their remaining matches. Ideally, they also need New Zealand to lose their remaining games, as the Black Caps currently hold eight points from six matches.

In the best-case scenario, Pakistan’s path to the semifinals would involve the following outcomes:

Match 32: New Zealand vs South Africa — South Africa wins Match 33: India vs Sri Lanka — India wins Match 34: Afghanistan vs Netherlands — Afghanistan wins Match 35: Pakistan vs New Zealand — Pakistan wins Match 36: England vs Australia — Australia wins Match 37: India vs South Africa — India wins Match 38: Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh — Sri Lanka wins Match 39: Australia vs Afghanistan — Australia wins Match 40: England vs Netherlands — England wins Match 41: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka — Sri Lanka wins Match 42: South Africa vs Afghanistan — South Africa wins Match 43: Bangladesh vs Australia — Australia wins Match 44: Pakistan vs England — Pakistan wins Match 45: India vs Netherlands — India wins

If these results align with the scenario above, India would top the table with 18 points, followed by South Africa with 14 points. Australia would secure third place, tied with South Africa in points. Pakistan, with 10 points, would finish fourth and advance to the World Cup’s knockout stage.

Remaining ICC World Cup 2023 matches for Pakistan:

November 4 – vs New Zealand in Bengaluru (Day match) November 11 – vs England in Kolkata

Should Pakistan qualify for the semifinals, they would compete in Kolkata. If India reaches the semifinals and faces Pakistan, the match location would be Kolkata; otherwise, it would be held in Mumbai.

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